Road to the National Tile (4 weeks to go)

Open Road (Undefeated)
Alabama Crimson Tide
Last Game: 38-17 over LSU
Key Remaining Games: at Auburn, SEC Title Game
Even when you think a team has a great shot to upset them, they just roll through to get the win.  Now Auburn and likely Missouri look to pose a good challenge, but with how Alabama is playing I don't know if you can take them serious.

Florida State Seminoles
Last Game: 59-3 over Wake Forrest
Key Remaining Games: at Florida, ACC Title Game
Jameis Winston didn't have to do much with the Seminole defense completely shutting dominating the game.  Florida remains their toughest opponent, but I'd watch out for Syracuse this week who could play the role of FSU spoiler.

Baylor Bears
Last Game: 41-12 over Oklahoma
Key Remaining Games: Texas Tech, at Oklahoma State, Texas
If Baylor keeps winning out their resume and BCS standings will continue to strengthen.  I don't see them jumping Florida State, but they would be the next team up if FSU or Alabama drop a game.  Which very well could happen.

Ohio State Buckeyes
Last Game: 56-0 over Purdue
Key Remaining Games: at Michigan, Big 10 Title Game
Bye week for the Buckeyes, but they are still winners here.  Having Oregon lose gives them hope of sneaking in.  But they'll really need either Alabama or Florida State to lose and to keep blowing out their opponents.  Because their resume isn't very good.

Debris on the Road (One Loss)
Stanford Cardinal
Last Game: 26-20 over Oregon
Key Remaining Games: at USC, Notre Dame, Pac 12 Title Game
Their win over Oregon solidifies them as the top one loss team and could even put them ahead of Ohio State and Baylor is the polls.  I still think they need there to be only one undefeated team for them to get in.

Auburn Tigers
Last Game: 55-23 over Tennessee
Key Remaining Games: Georgia, Alabama, SEC Title Game
If Auburn wins out I could see them getting into the title game even over Ohio State if they are undefeated.  But they have to beat both Georgia and Alabama and likely Missouri.  That would be a phenomenal run.

Missouri Tigers
Last Game: 48-17 over Kentucky
Key Remaining Games: Texas A&M, SEC Title Game
Missouri is closing in on the East Division Title, but they'll have to beat both Mississippi and A&M to do so.  That's a tall task for this team.  But they're hanging around in Title Game talk, but I don't trust their lack of experience in this situation.

Road Closed
Oregon Ducks
Last Game: 20-26 loss to Stanford
The loss to Stanford was a crushing blow to a team that could have ended the SEC's reign.  Even with just one loss the Ducks chances of getting to the title game are over.  They are too far behind the other one loss teams and likely won't get to the Pac 12 Title game.